Skip to main content

Racing Preview of this weekend’s racing with Farringdon: October 14-15

Including races at Newmarket

ANOTHER big Saturday across Britain and the biggest factor will be the weather with two low pressure systems about to sweep across these islands and therefore a chance that the going at Newmarket could be genuinely on the soft side of good, if not soft all round.

That makes the breakdown of the feature betting race of the day, the Cesarewitch Handicap over an extended two-and-a-quarter miles at 2.40, only slightly easier to dissect with a full field of 34 set to go to post.

As such, following his oh-so-game victory and return to winning form at Chester last time out, I have to side with the top weight TASHKHAN, who is now back up to a handicap mark of 109, having won off 104.

That day he was under the cosh a long way out, but typically kept on finding plenty under Ben Robinson before getting on top of course specialist Emiyn inside the final furlong. That is exactly the kind of slog that this classy five-year-old needs and it is worth reflecting that he has still only raced 20 times on turf (mostly out of handicap company) and has the size to carry his welter burden in real terms.

Such a marathon test if the ground gets deeper should also suit the Goodwood Stakes winner, Temporize, who has been given plenty of time to get over that slog having been freshened up by trainer Syd Hosie with a 71-day break. That race was run on unseasonably soft ground and he saw out the trip thoroughly. I was actually hoping the third home that day, Tronador, would run, but he had little chance of getting into the race. A 7lbs penalty is fair enough for the former and even though this is a race with a deal more strength in depth, his chance has to be respected.

Typewriter ran well over a mile and six furlongs, also at Goodwood, last time out, and this daughter of Gleneagles could be running over her optimum trip after she finished 18 lengths off Temporize in that marathon event. Motazzen finished fourth that day and also has claims at an each-way price, while the Willie Mullins’s-trained pair, Jackfinbar and Lot of Joy could also prove over priced and worthy of each-way consideration with plenty of the bookmakers offering enhanced placed terms.

The supporting card looks a cracker with my main other bet likely to be ARABIC LEGEND in the Autumn Stakes (1.25). I’m not sure that the race was run to suit at Salisbury last time out and this softer ground with the likelihood of a faster pace should play to the strengths of this son of Dubawi, for whom even a stiff mile like this already looks a minimum distance. He obviously needs to step up on that last run, but has shown that the undulating track holds no fears for him and he looks the value play over the likely favourite Ancient Wisdom and the unbeaten Orne.

The Dewhurst Stakes at 2.00 has one of its shortest priced favourites for a while in City of Troy, and his strong travelling style should be well suited to this track. He is a lengthener rather than a quickener, but if Ryan Moore sets him alight some way from home it is obvious that this talented son of Justify will be desperately hard to beat.

Still, plenty of short-priced market leaders have been turned over in this Group One event in the past, and I shall be having an each-way investment on INDIAN RUN.

Eve Johnson-Houghton’s charge could have been underestimated following victories in an Ascot maiden and then the Acomb Stakes at York where he readily saw off Ballymount Boy. He won that seven furlong Group Three event with plenty in hand and although he needs to come forward by a large chunk again, that certainly shouldn’t be ruled out.

If Arabic Legend runs well in the Autumn Stakes at the top of the card, then plenty will be happy to load onto Arabian Crown in the 10 furlong Zetland Stakes at 3.15. However, I think that the filly, MERIBELLA, can trump both him and the Aidan O’Brien charge Gasper de Lemos. Her success in a Newmarket maiden over seven furlongs doesn’t look out of the ordinary, but she won very easily that afternoon and should relish the extra three furlongs here.

CHARMING WHISPER could go well at the foot of the weights in the seven furlong nursery at 4.25. Any further rain will almost certainly help this son of Charm Spirit, and he gets the nod over the Karl Burke-trained Strong Request, and the top weight Witness Stand. The last named gave himself no chance in the Group Two Vintage Stakes at Glorious Goodwood when he behaved quite badly and just boiled over, but his run last time out off a mark of 95 was better, and if he manages to settle he could very well outclass his less talented rivals.

The final race is the Listed Boadicea Stakes (5.00) over six furlongs. It seems like quite a good renewal of this event for fillies and mares and could give EMBRACE good chance to at least hit the frame at a double figure price.

The daughter of Lope de Vega started the season off with a promising running on fourth of 12 in the Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury and subsequently ran halfway down the field in the 1,000 Guineas and then the ground went against her in the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot. Third to Pearl D’or last time out, I think that she will benefit from this drop back to six furlongs for the very first time in her career and as long as there is some dig in the ground she could upset the likes of Funny Story and Fast Response.

OWNED BY OUR READERS

We're a reader-owned co-operative, which means you can become part of the paper too by buying shares in the People’s Press Printing Society.

 

 

Become a supporter

Fighting fund

You've Raised:£ 12,822
We need:£ 5,178
1 Days remaining
Donate today